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NBA Finals Preview: Three Questions That Will Shape the Series

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NBA Finals Preview: Three Questions That Will Shape the Series


The Milwaukee Bucks and Phoenix Suns meet in the NBA Finals on Tuesday night at 9 p.m. (EDT). It’s not quite the series the league expected when the season began last December. The Bucks had the best preseason championship odds in the Eastern Conference, second overall behind the Los Angeles Lakers, but the Suns were basically an afterthought. They had the 14th best odds in the NBA. The expectation for Phoenix was mediocrity.

 

 

As it turns out, the Suns became one of pro basketball’s biggest surprises this year. They ripped through the Western Conference behind scoring guard Devin Booker and future Hall of Fame point guard Chris Paul. For their part, the Bucks have proven themselves worthy of the hype, making their way through a difficult Eastern Conference playoff behind future Hall of Fame forward Giannis Antetokounmpo.

The result is a meeting between two teams who rarely appear on this stage. The Bucks have the only championship between the two teams (won in 1971), and the teams have just four previous Finals appearances combined—most recently by the Suns in 1993.

It should be a fun series. The Suns are the favorites, with both betting odds and FiveThirtyEight’s prediction model giving them about a two-in-three chance to win. But the Bucks could drastically change that perception if they win just one of the opening two games in Phoenix. As we head into the Finals, here are three questions that will shape the series.

How healthy is Giannis Antetokounmpo?

The Bucks’ franchise cornerstone and two-time MVP hyperextended his left knee in Game 4 of the Eastern Conference Finals against the Atlanta Hawks. He didn’t play the rest of the series, and though the Bucks won the last two games to advance, it will be difficult to repeat that trick with their best player out of the lineup.

Antetokounmpo has been working hard to get himself back into playing shape. But even if he does play, it’s unclear how effective he’ll be while dealing with an injury that usually demands 10 to 14 days of recovery. Game 1 of the Finals is just seven days out from when Antetokounmpo initially got hurt. His powerful, slashing style requires a lot of explosive bursts, which makes this injury particularly problematic.

Which team will dictate the playing style?

In many ways, the Suns and Bucks play similar brands of basketball. Both teams are a little more effective, relative to the rest of the NBA, on offense than defense. Both rely on one star scorer to lead the way (Antetokounmpo for Milwaukee, Booker for Phoenix) and have made it to the NBA Finals by finding enough secondary contributors to beat their conference peers. They put up three-point shots at similar rates (both are near the middle of the league in how often they shoot threes compared to twos). On the other end of the court, both teams put a premium on defensive rebounding and do it well.

The one big difference between their styles is pacing. The Bucks play at breakneck speed, while the Suns prefer to take their time when they have the ball. The gap might seem small—it amounts to just a few possessions per game—but the Bucks averaged 102 offensive possessions per 48 minutes this season, the third-fastest pace in the NBA. The Suns averaged 97, making them the fifth-slowest team in the league.

You can see this difference in how the teams like to score points. The Suns dribble around for a while and might have Booker or Paul create a jump shot, or maybe work the ball inside to center DeAndre Ayton:

On the other hand, the Bucks love to score in transition. In fact, the Bucks take more of their shots (over 17 percent of them in the playoffs) while on the break than any other team. When you have a player like Antetokounmpo, the game starts to look like a track meet:

If the Bucks can create a lot of scoring opportunities on the run, an upset gets likelier. A more deliberate offensive pace would favor the Suns.

Will the Bucks finally make some jump shots?

Milwaukee is shooting 31 percent on three-pointers during the playoffs. It’s the third-worst percentage among playoff teams overall, and the worst among teams that advanced past the first round. The biggest individual culprits have been Antetokounmpo (18 percent), point guard Jrue Holiday (30 percent), and wing P.J. Tucker (29 percent).

Even the best shooter of the bunch, shooting guard Khris Middleton, has made just 34 percent of his three-point attempts compared to a regular season mark of 41 percent. Plus, Antetokounmpo has been brutal at the foul line, making 65 of 121 free throws for a lackluster 54 percent success rate.

So far, the Bucks have gotten away with lousy three-point shooting and Antetokounmpo’s free-throw woes by scoring efficiently near the basket. But the Suns’ interior defense is strong: Ayton anchors a unit that has kept opponents to a nearly league-worst 50 percent on twos during the playoffs. At some point, the Bucks are going to have to knock down jumpers; otherwise it’s hard to see where they’ll find enough points to pull off the upset.

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10 Best Porters to Drink Right Now

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A bottle of Deschutes Black Butte Porter




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Best Time-Under-Tension Workout for Total-Body Strength

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Barbell Back Squat


The key to 360-degree muscle: 90-degree eccentric isometrics. It might seem like we’re throwing a lot of geometry at you, but the concept behind time under tension (TUT) is simple, says Joel Seedman, PhD, owner of Advanced Human Performance: “Perform the lowering phase of a movement in a slow, controlled fashion, usually 3 to 5 seconds; pause in the stretched position, typically around 90 degrees; then perform the lifting phase in a powerful yet controlled fashion.” Believe us, a time-under-tension workout can humble even seasoned lifters…Eccentric isometrics are like the pressure cooker of training.

“Rather than mindlessly performing slow-tempo reps, you’re using the increased time under tension as a means to fine-tune your body mechanics and alignment, which requires more mental engagement and focus,” Seedman adds.

If you want to forge functional muscle mass and strength while simultaneously bulletproofing the joints and connective tissue, give this 10-move, full-body eccentric isometrics workout a go.

Directions

Perform the following moves as 90-degree eccentric isometrics following the above protocol. Use heavy weight, but not at the detriment of proper form. Rest 60 to 90 seconds between sets and 2 minutes between circuits. Perform once every 2 to 4 days for optimal results.

Best Time-Under-Tension Workout for Total-Body Strength

Circuit 1

Marius Bugge

A. Barbell Back Squat

Set a squat rack up with heavy weight, then grasp bar and step under it. Squeeze shoulder blades together, then stand to unrack bar and step back with feet shoulder-width apart. Inhale, hinge at hips and slowly bend knees to 90 degrees. Pause, keeping natural arch in low back, then extend through hips to powerfully stand. 3 x 4-6 reps

Athletic man wearing gray T-shirt and maroon shorts renegade row
Marius Bugge

B. Renegade Row

Start in the top position of a pushup with hands shoulder-width apart on moderate-to-heavy dumbbells (shown). Explosively drive right elbow back to row dumbbell toward ribs while balancing on opposite hand and feet. Pause, then slowly lower weight, stopping a few inches above floor. Switch sides after all reps are done. 3 x 5 reps each side

Circuit 2

Athletic man wearing gray T-shirt and maroon shorts doing renegade row Dumbbell Bentover Row in gym
Marius Bugge

A. Dumbbell Bentover Row

Stand with feet hip-width apart, holding two moderate-to-heavy dumbbells in front of thighs, palms facing you. Push hips back and hinge torso forward so it’s nearly parallel to floor, soft bend in knees. Dumbbells should be near shins. Drive elbows back to row weights toward ribs. Pause, then slowly lower down for 3 to 5 seconds. 3 x 4-5 reps

Athletic man wearing gray T-shirt and maroon shorts doing Incline Dumbbell Chest Press with Legs Raised 
Marius Bugge

B. Incline Dumbbell Chest Press with Legs Raised 

Set an adjustable bench to a 30- to 45-degree angle and lie back with dumbbells in either hand. Engage core and lift legs off floor, flexing feet. Press weights overhead, palms in. Slowly lower to 90 degrees, staying tight and compact. Pause, then drive weights up directly over chest. 3 x 4-5 reps

Circuit 3

Athletic man wearing gray T-shirt and maroon shorts doing Dumbbell Bulgarian Squat
Marius Bugge

A. Dumbbell Bulgarian Squat

Stand lunge-length in front of a flat bench, holding heavy dumbbells in each hand by your sides, palms facing in. Rest the ball on top (shoe’s laces) of your right foot behind you on the bench. Slowly lower your body until your front thigh is parallel to the floor. Pause, then drive through your heel to stand. Switch sides after all reps are complete. 2 x 3-4 reps each side

Athletic man wearing gray T-shirt and maroon shorts doing Single-leg Romanian Deadlift
Marius Bugge

B. Single-leg Romanian Deadlift

Stand with feet hip-width apart holding dumbbells or kettlebells. Drive right leg up, foot flexed, knee aligned with hip, making a 90-degree angle. Hinge at hips as you slowly lever your torso toward floor, lowering weights and driving right leg back for counterbalance. Hold, then squeeze glutes to reverse. 2 x 3-4 reps each side

Circuit 4

Athletic man wearing gray T-shirt and maroon shorts doing pullup
Marius Bugge

A. Pullup

Hang from a pullup bar using an overhand grip with legs extended and feet flexed. Engage lats and draw shoulders down your back, then pull yourself up until chin is higher than hands. Pause at the top, then slowly lower. Pause at bottom, then reset before your next rep. 2-3 x 4-5 reps

Athletic man wearing gray T-shirt and maroon shorts doing Kneeling Overhead Barbell Press
Marius Bugge

B. Kneeling Overhead Barbell Press

Hold a bar with moderate-to-heavy load at shoulder level with forearms perpendicular to floor. Kneel at end of bench with feet flexed to grip edge for support. Inhale, engage your core and glutes, then press the bar overhead, pushing your head forward so it passes your face, exhaling at the top.
Slowly lower until elbows are at 90 degrees, then hold to maintain tension. Begin your next rep from here. 2-3 x 4-5 reps

Circuit 5

A. Dumbbell Pushup

Place hands on dumbbells (this provides greater range of motion) at shoulder width and feet wider than shoulder width with just toes touching the ground. Keep head neutral and hips high to increase tension on core, chest and tris and reduce stress on spine. Slowly lower to the floor. Stop
once elbows hit 90 degrees, pause, then push up to start. 1-2 x 6-8 reps

B. Biceps Curl

Stand with feet hip-width apart with moderate-to-heavy dumbbells in each hand hanging by sides. Engage biceps to curl the weights up, keeping upper arms still. Pause at the top, then lower slowly. Don’t let arms drop all the way down to keep greater time under tension on biceps. 1-2 x 6-8 reps


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The Best Jump Ropes for a Killer Cardio Workout

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The Best Jump Ropes for a Killer Cardio Workout




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